NFL Week 3

NFL pools, DFS values and weekly wagers all in 1 post this week.

NFL Picks:

Pitts ATL Rec Yards over 41.5. Good usage so far and he gets Carolina.

Cinn 3

Det 5.5

NYJ 7.5

The dogs will be out on Sunday, looking at these 3 due to various injury and situational concerns.

Den/LAC under 45.5. Division game, likely slower tempo with 2 strong defenses.

Chi & Dallas SGP both teams over 20.5 points, -105.

Survivor week 3:

This is the week where at least 1 large selection goes down. Hopefully you played Buffalo and can sit back and wait for the carnage.

Pick: Seattle. Taking Seattle at home and getting Darnold out of the way in pools where I need to run the table to win. NO showed life last week but I still like this better than others on the board (saving GB). I played Buffalo in a smaller pool.

Avoiding: ATL, TB, Wash, Baltimore. You can find better spots for all of these teams. The Jets especially could be live at TB with the cluster injuries on the TB O line.

OK to play GB but there will be better spots for them and you might have a sweat on your hands with Cleveland.

NFL ATS Pools week 3 (draft kings lines):

Tennessee 3.5. I realize this has moved against me to 4.5. I don't care. If you give me the hook against Jones on the road I'll pay to see him win by margin.

NYJ 7.5. See above. Tyrod and a hurt OL for TB.

Cincinnati 3.5. You cannot make Minnesota -3.5 against anyone right now, let alone with injuries and a backup QB.

Cleveland 8.5. Why not, they have played reasonably well and at home in a let down type game for GB.

Detroit 5.5. They were trucked in Balt last meeting and will bring a big effort here. Balt has injury concerns in the secondary and Harbaugh will be conservative late with a lead.

DFS Value Plays week 3 (draft kings):

D Maye $5300. Playing Maye or the top of the board this week.

J Mason $5400. In line for work against Cincy at home.

Q Judkins $5000. Good usage and was productive in his first start.

DJ Moore $5400 / R Odunze $5300. Dallas defense.

C Kupp $5000. 9 targets for 90 yards last week. Play him now before he pulls his hammy and retires.

C Kirk $4700. Houston badly needs to get him involved in that atrocious offense. Also revenge angle?

H Fannin Jr. $3600. Should see plenty of work against GB with Flacco dump offs.

J Johnson $3900. 12 and 9 targets to start the season.